A model that uses data from the Federal Reserve System’s Beige Book suggests there is a 24% chance the U.S. economy was already in a recession in October, according to new research from the Federal ...

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said some sectors were in a recession as he argued for more interest rate cuts. By Alan Rappeport and Colby Smith Alan Rappeport covers the U.S. Treasury Department.

After pausing for nine months, the U.S. Federal Reserve resumed cutting interest rates on 17 September 2025. The recession forecasting method we've used to monitor the odds of a recession starting in ...

The U.S. economy remains largely unscathed but pressure could mount. The U.S. economy remains largely unscathed by the government shutdown, but the nation could risk economic peril if the impasse ...

It often seems that economists are perpetually warning us about the next U.S. recession. One influential analyst says an economic slowdown is already a fact of life for many Americans. Twenty-two ...

If you’re confused about whether the U.S. economy in a recession, near a recession or doing OK, you’re not alone. Turns out the answer may depend on where you live, according to Moody’s Analytics ...

The economies of more than 20 states are either in a recession or are on the brink of slipping into one, according to an analysis by Moody's Analytics Chief Economist Mark Zandi. Zandi's analysis ...

The U.S. economy is likely already in a recession, masked by AI-driven capex and delayed official recognition by the NBER. The Leading Economic Index and jobs data are flashing clear recession signals ...

Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, recently warned that the economy is on the brink of entering a recession, as reported by Newsweek. GOBankingRates spoke with financial experts who ...

When we think of recession signals, we usually think of unemployment rates, consumer spending, or GDP drops. But lately, economists and analysts have been pointing to much more unconventional clues.

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